Chaos theory meets deep learning: A new approach to time series forecasting
Publication type: Journal Article
Publication date: 2024-12-01
scimago Q1
wos Q1
SJR: 1.854
CiteScore: 15.0
Impact factor: 7.5
ISSN: 09574174, 18736793
Abstract
We explore the influence and advantages of integrating chaotic systems with deep learning for time series forecasting in this paper. It proposes a novel deep learning method based on the Chen system, which leverages the randomness, sensitivity, and diversity of chaotic mapping to enhance the performance and efficiency of deep learning models. We introduce a deep learning framework that integrates chaotic systems, providing an innovative and effective approach for time series forecasting. The research utilizes three different types of deep learning models as baselines—Long Short-Term Memory, Neural Basis Expansion Analysis, and Transformer—and compares them with their chaotic counterparts to demonstrate the impact of chaotic systems on various deep learning architectures. Experimental validation is conducted on thirteen available time series datasets, assessing the models' forecasting accuracy, runtime, and resource occupancy. The effectiveness and superiority of the chaotic deep learning method are verified across diverse datasets, including stock markets, electricity, and air quality, showcasing significant improvements over traditional model initialization methods.
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Metrics
16
Total citations:
16
Citations from 2024:
15
(93.75%)
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BibTex
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GOST
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Jia B. et al. Chaos theory meets deep learning: A new approach to time series forecasting // Expert Systems with Applications. 2024. Vol. 255. p. 124533.
GOST all authors (up to 50)
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Jia B., Wu H., Guo K. Chaos theory meets deep learning: A new approach to time series forecasting // Expert Systems with Applications. 2024. Vol. 255. p. 124533.
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RIS
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TY - JOUR
DO - 10.1016/j.eswa.2024.124533
UR - https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0957417424014003
TI - Chaos theory meets deep learning: A new approach to time series forecasting
T2 - Expert Systems with Applications
AU - Jia, Bowen
AU - Wu, Huyu
AU - Guo, Kaiyu
PY - 2024
DA - 2024/12/01
PB - Elsevier
SP - 124533
VL - 255
SN - 0957-4174
SN - 1873-6793
ER -
Cite this
BibTex (up to 50 authors)
Copy
@article{2024_Jia,
author = {Bowen Jia and Huyu Wu and Kaiyu Guo},
title = {Chaos theory meets deep learning: A new approach to time series forecasting},
journal = {Expert Systems with Applications},
year = {2024},
volume = {255},
publisher = {Elsevier},
month = {dec},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0957417424014003},
pages = {124533},
doi = {10.1016/j.eswa.2024.124533}
}