Applied Mathematical Modelling, volume 114, pages 189-204

Biome stability and fragmentation under critical environmental temperature change

Sudakow Ivan 1, 2
Vakulenko Sergey 2, 3, 4
Pound Matthew J. 5
Kirievskaya Dubrava 2
1
 
School of Mathematics and Statistics, The Open University, Milton Keynes, MK7 6AA, United Kingdom
2
 
The Center for Research and Invention, Veliky Novgorod 173008, Russia
5
 
Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 8S, United Kingdom
Publication typeJournal Article
Publication date2023-02-01
Quartile SCImago
Q1
Quartile WOS
Q1
Impact factor5
ISSN0307904X
Applied Mathematics
Modeling and Simulation
Abstract
• Species competition model is coupled with climate model to describe the influence of environmental temperature on ecosystems. • This coupled model can be asymptotically equivalent to a special multispecies Lotka-Volterra system. • The model shows how ecosystems influence biome formation and fragmentation under critical environmental changes. • We apply the proposed model to study the warm-temperate mixed forest biome location in the past. Critical phenomena in the climate system can cause drastic changes in the state of planetary ecosystems as well the entire biosphere. There also are mechanisms through which the biosphere can make an effect on climate. In this manuscript, we study the nonlinear dynamics of the interaction of the climate system with the biosphere by linking an energy balance climate model to different species competition models. We develop an asymptotic approach to these models and investigate how migration strengthens biome stability and biodiversity. Moreover, we derive relations describing biome boundary shifts under global warming (or cooling) and check those relations against paleo data on plant biome location. Finally, the models demonstrate that critical rates of changes in the environmental temperature dynamics may shift biome stability.

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Sudakow I. et al. Biome stability and fragmentation under critical environmental temperature change // Applied Mathematical Modelling. 2023. Vol. 114. pp. 189-204.
GOST all authors (up to 50) Copy
Sudakow I., Vakulenko S., Pound M. J., Kirievskaya D. Biome stability and fragmentation under critical environmental temperature change // Applied Mathematical Modelling. 2023. Vol. 114. pp. 189-204.
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TY - JOUR
DO - 10.1016/j.apm.2022.09.032
UR - https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.apm.2022.09.032
TI - Biome stability and fragmentation under critical environmental temperature change
T2 - Applied Mathematical Modelling
AU - Sudakow, Ivan
AU - Vakulenko, Sergey
AU - Pound, Matthew J.
AU - Kirievskaya, Dubrava
PY - 2023
DA - 2023/02/01 00:00:00
PB - Elsevier
SP - 189-204
VL - 114
SN - 0307-904X
ER -
BibTex
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@article{2023_Sudakow,
author = {Ivan Sudakow and Sergey Vakulenko and Matthew J. Pound and Dubrava Kirievskaya},
title = {Biome stability and fragmentation under critical environmental temperature change},
journal = {Applied Mathematical Modelling},
year = {2023},
volume = {114},
publisher = {Elsevier},
month = {feb},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.apm.2022.09.032},
pages = {189--204},
doi = {10.1016/j.apm.2022.09.032}
}
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