Geomagnetism and Aeronomy

, том 62 , издание 4 , страницы 388-398

Geomagnetic Storm Prediction Based on the Neural Network Digital Processing of Joint Observations of the URAGAN Muon Hodoscope and Neutron Monitor Stations

Тип публикации: Journal Article

Дата публикации: 2022-08-01

Pleiades Publishing

Geomagnetism and Aeronomy

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SJR: 0.24

CiteScore: 1.2

Impact factor: 0.7

ISSN: 00167932, 1555645X

DOI: 10.1134/s0016793222040089

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Space and Planetary Science

Geophysics

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A method for predicting geomagnetic storms based on the neural network digital processing of joint observations of the URAGAN muon hodoscope and the international system of neutron monitor stations has been proposed. A time series of Dst indices are used. Formulas for extrapolating model estimates of Dst indices have been developed. A fully-connected feed-forward neural network has been used. Prediction decision rule has been implemented. The probability characteristics of geomagnetic storm prediction have been estimated. An experimental study of the prediction method confirmed its effectiveness. It has been shown that the observations of the hodoscope–monitor system increased the probability of correctly predicting geomagnetic storms compared to using each of the observations separately.

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Журналы

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Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences: Physics	Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences: Physics, 1, 25% Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences: Physics 1 публикация, 25%
Solnechno-Zemnaya Fizika	Solnechno-Zemnaya Fizika, 1, 25% Solnechno-Zemnaya Fizika 1 публикация, 25%
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Geomagnetism and Aeronomy	Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, 1, 25% Geomagnetism and Aeronomy 1 публикация, 25%
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Getmanov V. G. et al. Geomagnetic Storm Prediction Based on the Neural Network Digital Processing of Joint Observations of the URAGAN Muon Hodoscope and Neutron Monitor Stations // Geomagnetism and Aeronomy. 2022. Vol. 62. No. 4. pp. 388-398.

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Getmanov V. G., Chinkin V. E., Sidorov R. V., Gvishiani A. D., Dobrovolskii M. N., Solov’ev A. A., Dmitrieva A. N., Kovylyaeva A. A., YASHIN I. I. Geomagnetic Storm Prediction Based on the Neural Network Digital Processing of Joint Observations of the URAGAN Muon Hodoscope and Neutron Monitor Stations // Geomagnetism and Aeronomy. 2022. Vol. 62. No. 4. pp. 388-398.

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TY - JOUR

DO - 10.1134/s0016793222040089

UR - https://doi.org/10.1134/s0016793222040089

TI - Geomagnetic Storm Prediction Based on the Neural Network Digital Processing of Joint Observations of the URAGAN Muon Hodoscope and Neutron Monitor Stations

T2 - Geomagnetism and Aeronomy

AU - Getmanov, V G

AU - Chinkin, V E

AU - Sidorov, R V

AU - Gvishiani, A. D.

AU - Dobrovolskii, M N

AU - Solov’ev, A. A.

AU - Dmitrieva, A N

AU - Kovylyaeva, A A

AU - YASHIN, I. I.

PY - 2022

DA - 2022/08/01

PB - Pleiades Publishing

SP - 388-398

IS - 4

VL - 62

SN - 0016-7932

SN - 1555-645X

ER -

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@article{2022_Getmanov,

author = {V G Getmanov and V E Chinkin and R V Sidorov and A. D. Gvishiani and M N Dobrovolskii and A. A. Solov’ev and A N Dmitrieva and A A Kovylyaeva and I. I. YASHIN},

title = {Geomagnetic Storm Prediction Based on the Neural Network Digital Processing of Joint Observations of the URAGAN Muon Hodoscope and Neutron Monitor Stations},

journal = {Geomagnetism and Aeronomy},

year = {2022},

volume = {62},

publisher = {Pleiades Publishing},

month = {aug},

url = {https://doi.org/10.1134/s0016793222040089},

number = {4},

pages = {388--398},

doi = {10.1134/s0016793222040089}

}

MLA

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Getmanov, V. G., et al. “Geomagnetic Storm Prediction Based on the Neural Network Digital Processing of Joint Observations of the URAGAN Muon Hodoscope and Neutron Monitor Stations.” Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, vol. 62, no. 4, Aug. 2022, pp. 388-398. https://doi.org/10.1134/s0016793222040089.