Technological Forecasting and Social Change

, volume 119 , pages 246-255

Technology foresight in China: Academic studies, governmental practices and policy applications

Na Li ¹

Kaihua Chen ^{2, 3}

Mingting Kou ⁴

Hide authors affiliations Show authors affiliations: 4 affiliations

Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, 100190, PR China |

Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100190, PR China |

University of Oxford, Queen Elizabeth House, 3 Mansfield Road, Oxford OX1 3TB, UK |

⁴

Donlinks School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, 100083 Beijing, PR China |

Publication type: Journal Article

Publication date: 2017-06-01

Elsevier

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

scimago Q1

wos Q1

SJR: 3.472

CiteScore: 26.3

Impact factor: 13.3

ISSN: 00401625, 18735509

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.010

Copy DOI

Management of Technology and Innovation

Business and International Management

Applied Psychology

Abstract

Technology foresight has received increasing attention in China among academic scholars and policy makers. This paper, based on an analysis of global technology foresight features, systematically summarizes and discusses academic studies, governmental practices, and policy applications regarding technology foresight in China, associated with bibliometrics, expert interviews, and desk research methods. The evidence of both theoretical studies and practical activities indicates that technology foresight has rapidly developed in China. This development process can be divided into three periods: the exploration, rapid development, and maturation periods. Technology foresight activities in China enable stakeholders to consult with each other, which leads to a technology foresight culture. Further, many problems in developing and planning with science, technology, and innovation can be solved when comprehensive approaches are adopted to conduct technology foresight activities, including large-scale Delphi survey, scenario analysis, technology roadmap, and bibliometrics, among others. Currently, technology foresight is not only an essential instrument, but is also widely applied in China to develop planning and policies regarding science, technology, and innovation activities. Alternatively, the methodology of Chinese technology foresight and its application to science and technology planning must further improve.

Found

1 citation

Novikov Arthur

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DSc in Engineering, associate professor

60 publications, 429 citations, 89 reviews

h-index: 12

Voronezh State University

Research interests

Agroforestry

Precision agriculture

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GOST |

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GOST Copy

Li N. et al. Technology foresight in China: Academic studies, governmental practices and policy applications // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2017. Vol. 119. pp. 246-255.

GOST all authors (up to 50) Copy

Li N., Chen K., Kou M. Technology foresight in China: Academic studies, governmental practices and policy applications // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2017. Vol. 119. pp. 246-255.

RIS |

Cite this

RIS Copy

TY - JOUR

DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.010

UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.010

TI - Technology foresight in China: Academic studies, governmental practices and policy applications

T2 - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

AU - Li, Na

AU - Chen, Kaihua

AU - Kou, Mingting

PY - 2017

DA - 2017/06/01

PB - Elsevier

SP - 246-255

VL - 119

SN - 0040-1625

SN - 1873-5509

ER -

BibTex

Cite this

BibTex (up to 50 authors) Copy

@article{2017_Li,

author = {Na Li and Kaihua Chen and Mingting Kou},

title = {Technology foresight in China: Academic studies, governmental practices and policy applications},

journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change},

year = {2017},

volume = {119},

publisher = {Elsevier},

month = {jun},

url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.010},

pages = {246--255},

doi = {10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.010}

}

Publisher

Elsevier

Journal

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

scimago Q1

wos Q1

SJR

3.472

CiteScore

26.3

Impact factor

13.3

ISSN

00401625 (Print)

18735509