Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results
Luiz A Bloem Da Silveira Junior
1
,
Eduardo Vasconcellos
1
,
Liliana Vasconcellos
1
,
Luis Fernando A Guedes
2
,
Renato Machado Costa
1
2
FIA - Administration Institute Foundation, R. José Alves Cunha Lima, 172, 05360-050 Sao Paulo, Brazil
|
Publication type: Journal Article
Publication date: 2018-01-01
scimago Q1
wos Q1
SJR: 3.472
CiteScore: 26.3
Impact factor: 13.3
ISSN: 00401625, 18735509
Management of Technology and Innovation
Business and International Management
Applied Psychology
Abstract
This study outlines a methodology to refine Delphi results as part of the process to design a technology roadmap. The objectives of this paper are: (a) present a methodology to design a TRM using Delphi associated with other techniques (morphological analysis, decision matrix, interviews, and prioritization analysis), and (b) demonstrate and discuss the application of proposed TRM methodology to define alternative materials aiming to reduce the weight of structural shock absorbers. The field research consisted of a case study approach in the Brazilian subsidiary of an Italian auto parts MNC combined with action research methodology. The main contributions of this paper are: a) The proposition of a methodology to refine Delphi results as part of the process to design a technology roadmap (TRM), including a decision matrix, interviews with external experts, and a prioritization analysis and b) The action research provided good quality results as well as an opportunity to test the methodology in a company environment during eight months; this is not common to find in the literature.
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Metrics
49
Total citations:
49
Citations from 2024:
11
(22.45%)
Cite this
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RIS |
BibTex
Cite this
GOST
Copy
Bloem Da Silveira Junior L. A. et al. Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2018. Vol. 126. pp. 194-206.
GOST all authors (up to 50)
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Bloem Da Silveira Junior L. A., Vasconcellos E., Vasconcellos L., Guedes L. F. A., Costa R. M. Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2018. Vol. 126. pp. 194-206.
Cite this
RIS
Copy
TY - JOUR
DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.08.011
UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.08.011
TI - Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results
T2 - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
AU - Bloem Da Silveira Junior, Luiz A
AU - Vasconcellos, Eduardo
AU - Vasconcellos, Liliana
AU - Guedes, Luis Fernando A
AU - Costa, Renato Machado
PY - 2018
DA - 2018/01/01
PB - Elsevier
SP - 194-206
VL - 126
SN - 0040-1625
SN - 1873-5509
ER -
Cite this
BibTex (up to 50 authors)
Copy
@article{2018_Bloem Da Silveira Junior,
author = {Luiz A Bloem Da Silveira Junior and Eduardo Vasconcellos and Liliana Vasconcellos and Luis Fernando A Guedes and Renato Machado Costa},
title = {Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results},
journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change},
year = {2018},
volume = {126},
publisher = {Elsevier},
month = {jan},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.08.011},
pages = {194--206},
doi = {10.1016/j.techfore.2017.08.011}
}