Open Access
Water (Switzerland), volume 14, issue 3, pages 492
A Stacking Ensemble Learning Model for Monthly Rainfall Prediction in the Taihu Basin, China
Publication type: Journal Article
Publication date: 2022-02-07
Biochemistry
Water Science and Technology
Aquatic Science
Geography, Planning and Development
Abstract
The prediction of monthly rainfall is greatly beneficial for water resources management and flood control projects. Machine learning (ML) techniques, as an increasingly popular approach, have been applied in diverse climatic regions, showing their respective superiority. On top of that, the ensemble learning model that synthesizes the advantages of different ML models deserves more attention. In this study, an ensemble learning model based on stacking approach was proposed. Four prevalent ML models, namely k-nearest neighbors (KNN), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural networks (ANN) are taken as base models. To combine the outputs from the base models, the weighting algorithm is used as second-layer learner to generate predictions. Large-scale climate indices, large-scale atmospheric variables, and local meteorological variables were used as predictors. R2, RMSE and MAE, were used as evaluation metrics. The results show that the performance of base models varied among the nine stations in the Taihu Basin, while the stacking approach generally performed better than the four base models. The stacking model showed better performance in spring and winter than in summer and autumn. During wet months, the accuracy of model prediction varied more significantly. On the whole, based on performance evaluation measures, it is concluded that the proposed stacking ensemble multi-ML model can provide a flexible and reasonable prediction framework applicable to other regions.
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1 publication, 3.13%
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IEEE
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IEEE
1 publication, 3.13%
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- We do not take into account publications that without a DOI.
- Statistics recalculated only for publications connected to researchers, organizations and labs registered on the platform.
- Statistics recalculated weekly.
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Gu J. et al. A Stacking Ensemble Learning Model for Monthly Rainfall Prediction in the Taihu Basin, China // Water (Switzerland). 2022. Vol. 14. No. 3. p. 492.
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Gu J., Liu S., Zhou Z., CHALOV S. R., Zhuang Q. A Stacking Ensemble Learning Model for Monthly Rainfall Prediction in the Taihu Basin, China // Water (Switzerland). 2022. Vol. 14. No. 3. p. 492.
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TY - JOUR
DO - 10.3390/w14030492
UR - https://doi.org/10.3390%2Fw14030492
TI - A Stacking Ensemble Learning Model for Monthly Rainfall Prediction in the Taihu Basin, China
T2 - Water (Switzerland)
AU - Liu, Shuguang
AU - Gu, Jiayue
AU - Zhou, Zheng-Zheng
AU - CHALOV, Sergey R.
AU - Zhuang, Qi
PY - 2022
DA - 2022/02/07 00:00:00
PB - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
SP - 492
IS - 3
VL - 14
SN - 2073-4441
ER -
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@article{2022_Gu,
author = {Shuguang Liu and Jiayue Gu and Zheng-Zheng Zhou and Sergey R. CHALOV and Qi Zhuang},
title = {A Stacking Ensemble Learning Model for Monthly Rainfall Prediction in the Taihu Basin, China},
journal = {Water (Switzerland)},
year = {2022},
volume = {14},
publisher = {Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)},
month = {feb},
url = {https://doi.org/10.3390%2Fw14030492},
number = {3},
pages = {492},
doi = {10.3390/w14030492}
}
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Gu, Jiayue, et al. “A Stacking Ensemble Learning Model for Monthly Rainfall Prediction in the Taihu Basin, China.” Water (Switzerland), vol. 14, no. 3, Feb. 2022, p. 492. https://doi.org/10.3390%2Fw14030492.
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