Open Access

Nature Communications

, volume 13 , issue 1 , publication number 2112

Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation

L. D. Bailey ^{1, 2}

Martijn van de Pol ^{1, 3}

Frank Adriaensen ⁴

Aneta Arct ⁵

Emilio Juan Cervera Barba ⁶

Paul Bellamy ⁷

Suzanne Bonamour ⁸

Jean Charles Bouvier ⁹

Malcolm I. Burgess ^{7, 10}

Anne Charmantier ¹¹

Camillo Cusimano ¹²

Blandine Doligez ¹³

Szymon M. Drobniak ^{14, 15}

Anna Dubiec ¹⁶

Marcel Eens ¹⁷

Tapio Eeva ^{18, 19}

Peter N Ferns ²⁰

Anne Goodenough ²¹

Ian R Hartley ²²

Shelley A. Hinsley ²³

Elena V. Ivankina ²⁴

R. Juškaitis ²⁵

Bart Kempenaers ²⁶

Anvar B. Kerimov ²⁷

Carole Lavigne ⁹

Agu Leivits ²⁸

Mark C. Mainwaring ²²

Erik Matthysen ⁴

Jan-Åke Nilsson ²⁹

Markku Orell ³⁰

SEPPO RYTKÖNEN ³⁰

Juan Carlos Senar ³¹

Ben C. Sheldon ³²

Alberto Sorace ³³

Martyn J Stenning ³⁴

János Török ³⁵

Kees van Oers ¹

Emma Vatka ³⁶

Stefan J. G. Vriend ³⁷

Marcel E. Visser ¹

Hide authors affiliations Show authors affiliations: 37 affiliations

Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, the Netherlands |

Department of Evolutionary Genetics, Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research (IZW), Berlin, Germany |

College of science and engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia |

⁴

Evolutionary Ecology Group, Department of Biology, Universiteitsplein 1, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium |

⁵

Institute of Systematics and Evolution of Animals, Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków, Poland |

⁶

‘Cavanilles’ Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain |

⁷

RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Lodge, Sandy, UK |

⁸

Sorbonne Université, Centre d’Écologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (UMR 7204), Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Paris, France

Sorbonne University

Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle

⁹

INRAE, PSH, Plantes et Systèmes de culture Horticoles, Avignon, France |

¹⁰

Centre for Research in Animal Behaviour, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK |

¹¹

Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Univ Montpellier, Montpellier, France |

¹²

Stazione Ornitologica Aegithalos, Palermo, Italy |

¹³

Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, University of Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France |

¹⁴

Institute of Environmental Sciences, Jagiellonian University, Kraków, Poland |

¹⁵

Ecology & Evolution Research Centre; School of Biological, Environmental and Earth Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia |

¹⁶

Museum and Institute of Zoology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland |

¹⁷

Behavioural Ecology & Ecophysiology Group, Department of Biology, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium |

¹⁸

Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, FINLAND |

¹⁹

Kevo Subarctic Research Institute, University of Turku, Turku, Finland |

²⁰

Cardiff School of Biosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK |

²¹

School of Natural and Social Sciences, Francis Close Hall, University of Gloucestershire, Cheltenham, UK |

²²

Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster university, Lancaster, UK |

²³

UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, UK |

²⁴

Zvenigorod Biological Station, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia |

²⁵

Nature Research Centre, Vilnius, Lithuania |

²⁶

Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, Seewiesen, Germany |

²⁷

Department of Vertebrate Zoology, Faculty of Biology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia |

²⁸

Department of Nature Conservation, Environmental Board, Tallinn, Estonia |

²⁹

Evolutionary Ecology, Department of Biology, University of Lund, Lund, Sweden |

³⁰

Department of Ecology and Genetics, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland |

³¹

Evolutionary and Behavioural Ecology Research Unit, Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain |

³²

Edward Grey Institute, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK |

³³

ISPRA, Rome, Italy |

³⁴

School of Life Sciences, University of Sussex, Sussex, UK |

³⁵

Behavioural Ecology Group, Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary |

³⁶

Ecological Genetics Research Unit, Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Faculty of Biological & Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland |

³⁷

Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway |

Publication type: Journal Article

Publication date: 2022-04-19

Springer Nature

Nature Communications

scimago Q1

wos Q1

SJR: 4.761

CiteScore: 23.4

Impact factor: 15.7

ISSN: 20411723

DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4

Copy DOI

PubMed ID: 35440555

General Chemistry

General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology

General Physics and Astronomy

Abstract

The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species’ range. We document large intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity to temperature using laying date information from 67 populations of two co-familial European songbirds, the great tit (Parus major) and blue tit (Cyanistes caeruleus), covering a large part of their breeding range. Populations inhabiting deciduous habitats showed stronger phenological sensitivity than those in evergreen and mixed habitats. However, populations with higher sensitivity tended to have experienced less rapid change in climate over the past decades, such that populations with high phenological sensitivity will not necessarily exhibit the strongest phenological advancement. Our results show that to effectively assess the impact of climate change on phenology across a species’ range it will be necessary to account for intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity, climate change exposure, and the ecological characteristics of a population. Intra-specific variations may contribute to heterogeneous responses to climate change across a species’ range. Here, the authors investigate the phenology of two bird species across their breeding ranges, and find that their sensitivity to temperature is uncoupled from exposure to climate change.

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GOST Copy

Bailey L. D. et al. Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation // Nature Communications. 2022. Vol. 13. No. 1. 2112

GOST all authors (up to 50) Copy

Bailey L. D., van de Pol M., Adriaensen F., Arct A., Juan Cervera Barba E., Bellamy P., Bonamour S., Bouvier J. C., Burgess M. I., Charmantier A., Cusimano C., Doligez B., Drobniak S. M., Dubiec A., Eens M., Eeva T., Ferns P. N., Goodenough A., Hartley I. R., Hinsley S. A., Ivankina E. V., Juškaitis R., Kempenaers B., Kerimov A. B., Lavigne C., Leivits A., Mainwaring M. C., Matthysen E., Nilsson J., Orell M., RYTKÖNEN S., Senar J. C., Sheldon B. C., Sorace A., Stenning M. J., Török J., van Oers K., Vatka E., Vriend S. J. G., Visser M. E. Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation // Nature Communications. 2022. Vol. 13. No. 1. 2112

RIS |

Cite this

RIS Copy

TY - JOUR

DO - 10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4

UR - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4

TI - Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation

T2 - Nature Communications

AU - Bailey, L. D.

AU - van de Pol, Martijn

AU - Adriaensen, Frank

AU - Arct, Aneta

AU - Juan Cervera Barba, Emilio

AU - Bellamy, Paul

AU - Bonamour, Suzanne

AU - Bouvier, Jean Charles

AU - Burgess, Malcolm I.

AU - Charmantier, Anne

AU - Cusimano, Camillo

AU - Doligez, Blandine

AU - Drobniak, Szymon M.

AU - Dubiec, Anna

AU - Eens, Marcel

AU - Eeva, Tapio

AU - Ferns, Peter N

AU - Goodenough, Anne

AU - Hartley, Ian R

AU - Hinsley, Shelley A.

AU - Ivankina, Elena V.

AU - Juškaitis, R.

AU - Kempenaers, Bart

AU - Kerimov, Anvar B.

AU - Lavigne, Carole

AU - Leivits, Agu

AU - Mainwaring, Mark C.

AU - Matthysen, Erik

AU - Nilsson, Jan-Åke

AU - Orell, Markku

AU - RYTKÖNEN, SEPPO

AU - Senar, Juan Carlos

AU - Sheldon, Ben C.

AU - Sorace, Alberto

AU - Stenning, Martyn J

AU - Török, János

AU - van Oers, Kees

AU - Vatka, Emma

AU - Vriend, Stefan J. G.

AU - Visser, Marcel E.

PY - 2022

DA - 2022/04/19

PB - Springer Nature

IS - 1

VL - 13

PMID - 35440555

SN - 2041-1723

ER -

BibTex

Cite this

BibTex (up to 50 authors) Copy

@article{2022_Bailey,

author = {L. D. Bailey and Martijn van de Pol and Frank Adriaensen and Aneta Arct and Emilio Juan Cervera Barba and Paul Bellamy and Suzanne Bonamour and Jean Charles Bouvier and Malcolm I. Burgess and Anne Charmantier and Camillo Cusimano and Blandine Doligez and Szymon M. Drobniak and Anna Dubiec and Marcel Eens and Tapio Eeva and Peter N Ferns and Anne Goodenough and Ian R Hartley and Shelley A. Hinsley and Elena V. Ivankina and R. Juškaitis and Bart Kempenaers and Anvar B. Kerimov and Carole Lavigne and Agu Leivits and Mark C. Mainwaring and Erik Matthysen and Jan-Åke Nilsson and Markku Orell and SEPPO RYTKÖNEN and Juan Carlos Senar and Ben C. Sheldon and Alberto Sorace and Martyn J Stenning and János Török and Kees van Oers and Emma Vatka and Stefan J. G. Vriend and Marcel E. Visser},

title = {Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation},

journal = {Nature Communications},

year = {2022},

volume = {13},

publisher = {Springer Nature},

month = {apr},

url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4},

number = {1},

pages = {2112},

doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4}

}

Publisher

Springer Nature

Journal

Nature Communications

scimago Q1

wos Q1

SJR

4.761

CiteScore

23.4

Impact factor

15.7

ISSN

20411723 (Print, Electronic)